Long-range GFS pattern suggests a system tries to evolve in the Mississippi valley by late next week. The >50kt SW LLJ yields at least moderate moisture return all the way into the lower OH valley by FRI (with the 12z run showing the 50F isodrosotherm pushing into northern IL). Well above temperature are expected ahead of the system, with 50-60F sfc temperatures moving all the way into the Great Lakes area by late next week. Way too far out to be taken seriously, but the past few runs continue in wanting to develop something during this timeframe (previous run showed a slightly more amplified shortwave ejecting out into the central plains and moving east during the same timeframe). I just think with such an active fall (and already a decent-sized severe weather event just a few days ago) we could see a pretty decent spring... This is, of couse, just a wild guess... But I'm hoping for some MAR chases.

posted 3:35 PM by Nick Grillo

<< Home