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Thursday, March 23, 2006

The latest GFS has gone wild both kinematically and thermodynamically by progging 55-60 Tds advecting well into KS (and even into NE) on WED and THUR -- associated with a >30kt SW LLJ (which really cranks up on THUR evening), with cyclogenesis at the sfc in response to the approaching amplifying shortwave aloft at H5, with backed low-level flow well ahead of the cyclone on WED. While I haven't been paying in-depth attention to the models constantly, it has appeared the GFS wanted to bring a system onto the central plains during the last few days of MAR since late last week. Some runs being much weaker, some runs being stronger, with this run being quite wild looking.

I am looking forward to the chase season. But, I also have to conserve money. This system is still 6-7 days out, and has been unconsistent from run to run. I sure wouldn't mind spending the rest of APR, MAY and JUN on the plains, living somewhere.

posted 1:39 PM by Nick Grillo

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