GFS continues to support progressive flow opening up over central US by the upcoming early-mid week, with enough upper-level jet energy/DPVA to induce strong cyclogenesis at the surface on WED and THUR -- with both days looking highly chaseable (and possible even FRI) -- with deep, quality boundary layer moisture return into the warm sector. WED looks sweet, with an incredible shear profile (with strongly backed surface flow, veering to the west-southwest aloft at 300mb) and plentiful low-level moisture (55-60 Tds across TX/OK and even into southern/central KS). Still quite a few uncertainties with the placement of the mean trough, but it is indeed safe to say that we'll have a chase coming up next week, and I'll probably leave DTX on TUE afternoon for KS (or OK).
posted 12:51 PM by Nick Grillo
GFS continues to support progressive flow opening up over central US by the upcoming early-mid week, with enough upper-level jet energy/DPVA to induce strong cyclogenesis at the surface on WED and THUR -- with both days looking highly chaseable (and possible even FRI) -- with deep, quality boundary layer moisture return into the warm sector. WED looks sweet, with an incredible shear profile (with strongly backed surface flow, veering to the west-southwest aloft at 300mb) and plentiful low-level moisture (55-60 Tds across TX/OK and even into southern/central KS). Still quite a few uncertainties with the placement of the mean trough, but it is indeed safe to say that we'll have a chase coming up next week, and I'll probably leave DTX on TUE afternoon for KS (or OK).
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